Tuesday, March 19, 2013

U.S. Homicide Rate 1885 - 2012



3 comments:

  1. Im sorry, but where is this data coming from? and is this just in # of homicides or is this proportionate to the population at the time as well? as our country grows, so shall the rates of homicide. just saying.

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  2. Here is just a bit greater detail to explain some points in the chart:


    1.) The Wild West. -- The United States was pretty well settled by 1885, with homicide rates that generally reflected the country of origin of the settlers. Most areas homicide rates were as low as 0.4 per 100,000 population, or 1 murder for 250,000 population. The exceptions were some notorious cities such as New York and San Francisco.

    2.) Labor Wars Union-Led Gun Control Enacted. -- The same labor problems that very nearly destroyed the British Monarchy visited the US. While the homicide rates stayed extremely low by today’s standards, murder rates were terrifyingly high by the standards of the time. The resulting gun control laws that were intended to disarm strikers and scabs hit everyone, and the homicide rate more than tripled.

    3.)Alcohol Prohibition Begins. Sullivan’s Turnaround -- The labor wars took a breather in 1909 and 1910, with a slight decrease in both homicide and violent crime rates. There were well founded hopes for continuing decline in those rates but New York’s “Big Tim” Sullivan destroyed those hopes with New York’s Sullivan Law and the soaring crime rates that caused.

    4.)Prohibition Ends. Bathtub Gin and Gun Control. - As a result of further labor problems, WWI, prohibition, and the rise of gangs such as Capone’s, murder and violent crime rates did not come down until 1934, when prohibition was a dead letter and cash strapped police departments stopped enforcing gun laws that should never have been passed in the first place.

    5.)The Black Market Spike. -- During WWII the same gangs that fought for alcohol distribution rights fought to supply the black markets with everything from kerosene, meat, and catchup, to tobacco, and yes, booze. While law enforcement came down hard, it was still enough to cause a short term spike in murder rates.

    6.) Post-JFK Assassination Gun Control. The Second American Gun Control Drive -- The second gun control drive effectively began in early 1963 and the results were immediately obvious. Homicide rates doubled in a decade, going from a rate of 4.6 per 100,000 population in 1963 to an official rate of 9.4 per 100,000 in 1973 and 9.8 in 1974. The apparent short term declines between 1973 and 1991 are a result of under-reporting crime totals, and not an actual decline. That decline did not come until…

    7.) States move to "Shall Issue" gun permits. -- Relaxed gun laws and falling crime rates By 1991 the beneficial effects of Florida’s Concealed Carry Weapons permit system had become obvious. The two murders a day in Florida’s roadside rest areas had disappeared, violent crime and homicide rates were “falling off a cliff, and people sorely beset by violent crime were begging their legislators for relief. And for concealed carry.

    8.) And now, with murder rates at a 100 year low And now, with a year and a half years of decline to add to the post 1993 decline, it appears the United States murder rate is at its lowest point since 1910. And it is obvious that the ruling faction in the Democratic Partei wants to drive murder rates back to where they were in the 1980′s. It is also obvious that they must be stopped.

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  3. Pardon me for butting in ... just came across this graphic online, and wanted to address "Anonymous's" comment:

    "as our country grows, so shall the rates of homicide"

    Negative. The homicide rate is typically given "per 100,000 population." For example: Say City A has 100,000 inhabitants, while City B has a population of 200,000. City A had 2 homicides last year, and City B had 4 homicides. Although City B had double the homicides as City A, remember that it also has double the population. So both cities had the same homicide rate: 2 per 100,000 population.

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